“Your ‘conservative’ revenue forecast is a fantasy. Here’s how UK SaaS founders accidentally burn through £500K before hitting £10K MRR.”
The Problem:
Most early-stage SaaS founders:
- Underestimate customer churn (UK averages 5-7% monthly for B2B).
- Overestimate sales cycles (30 days? Try 90).
- Ignore seasonality (Q4 spikes, summer slumps).
The Fix:
- Model churn first—reverse-engineer from your break-even point.
- Benchmark locally—compare to UK SaaS startups in your niche (e.g., fintech vs. edtech).
- Stress-test—what if your CAC doubles?
Real-World Example:
A London-based HR tech startup projected £50K MRR by Month 12. Reality? £12K. Why? They didn’t factor in:
- Onboarding delays (UK SMEs take 3x longer to approve budgets than the US).
- VAT complexities (20% upfront hit to cash flow).
Where to Start:
Stop using spreadsheets with formulas you don’t understand. Use a pre-built SaaS financial model from ModelsForStartUps.com to:
✅ Automate UK-specific tax scenarios
✅ Plug in your metrics (MRR, churn, CAC)
✅ Avoid “death by optimism”
